Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

IB

Inmune Bio, Inc. (INMB)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 showed reduced net loss and lower R&D spend year on year; EPS of -$0.43 beat Wall Street consensus of -$0.47, aided by tightened operating spend and small revenue ($0.05M) uplift .
  • Management reiterated June 2025 top-line readout for the Phase 2 Alzheimer’s MINDFuL (AD02) trial; emphasized EMAC as preferred cognitive measure and highlighted a substantial APOE4-driven market opportunity for XPro™ .
  • Program timelines shifted: INKmune Phase II enrollment target moved to year-end (vs earlier guidance for mid-2025), while CORDStrom™ BLA timing narrowed to early 2026 .
  • Key stock catalysts near term: AD02 top-line in June, PSMA-PET lesion data in INKmune, and clarity on NIH funding for XPro in depression .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • EPS beat: Q1 2025 EPS of -$0.43 vs S&P Global consensus -$0.47; revenue of $0.05M vs $0.00 consensus, driven by lower R&D and steady G&A .
  • Alzheimer’s trial momentum: Database lock process on track for mid-to-late June; strong narrative around EMAC and pTau217 as clinically relevant biomarkers .
  • INKmune safety and signals: No adverse events; early PSMA-PET reads suggest some lesions resolved in lowest-dose cohort; manufacturing supply secured .

Quotes:

  • “We remain on track… mid- to late June… confident we will report results that will change the care of patients with early Alzheimer’s disease.”
  • “INKmune remains extremely well tolerated… some lesions have resolved completely following INKmune treatment.”

What Went Wrong

  • Timeline slippage: INKmune Phase II enrollment completion moved from mid-2025 target to “before year end,” implying a delay .
  • Minimal revenue base: The company remains largely pre-revenue; margin analysis is not meaningful given near-zero sales .
  • Cash runway: CFO indicated cash sufficiency only through Q3 2025, highlighting funding dependency around upcoming milestones and NIH financing for depression study .

Financial Results

Income Statement and Operating Profile (Quarterly)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.00 $0.00*$0.05
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(12.09) $(9.22)*$(9.74)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.60) $(0.41)*$(0.43)
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$10.07 N/A$7.64
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$2.22 N/A$2.32
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$12.29 $9.47*$9.96
Other Income (Expense), net ($USD Millions)$0.19 N/A$0.17

Notes: Asterisked values retrieved from S&P Global.

Liquidity, Shares, and Cash Burn

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$33.55 $20.92 $19.34
Shares Outstanding (Millions)22.2 22.9 23.2
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities ($USD Millions)N/AN/A$(6.82)

Results vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricConsensus (Q1 2025)Actual (Q1 2025)Surprise
EPS ($)$(0.47)*$(0.43) +$0.04 (Beat)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.00*$0.05 +$0.05M (Beat)
Target Price (USD)$5.25*$5.25*N/A

Notes: Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Year-over-Year KPIs (Q1)

KPIQ1 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.01 $0.05
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(11.03) $(9.74)
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$8.69 $7.64
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$2.34 $2.32
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities ($USD Millions)$(7.48) $(6.82)
Weighted Avg Shares (Millions)18.03 22.50

Margin commentary: Net income and EBIT margins are not meaningful given negligible revenue base .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
AD02 Phase 2 top-lineJune 2025“Top-line in Q2 2025” “Second half of June 2025” Maintained/Narrowed timing window
INKmune Phase II enrollment completion2025“Phase II complete enrollment Q2 2025” “Complete enrollment before year end” Lowered/Delayed
CORDStrom™ BLA filing2025–early 2026“File BLA in 2025 or early 2026” “File BLA in early 2026” Narrowed to early-2026
XPro™ TRD Phase IIStart upon NIH funding“Begin enrollment soon once NIH releases funds” “Initiate Phase II once NIH funding is made available” Maintained (dependent on NIH)
Cash runwayQ3 2025Not explicitly stated prior“Cash sufficient through Q3 2025” New disclosure

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Prior)Q4 2024 (Prior)Q1 2025 (Current)Trend
EMAC cognitive measureInterim blinded analysis correlates with CDR-SB; high reliability Reinforced EMAC precision and differentiation; webinar and publications Push for EMAC as primary endpoint; investor education continues Strengthening validation and advocacy
APOE4 market focusNot emphasizedNot emphasizedAPOE4 homozygotes excluded from EU/UK anti-amyloid labels; ~15% in major trials; INMB ~9% New strategic focus, market-expansion narrative
pTau217 biomarkerNot emphasizedPublications on TNF biology; synaptic proteins Strong positioning of pTau217 as PD marker; prior Phase I showed decrease Elevated biomarker-centric messaging
INKmune safety/efficacySafety clean; initial NK activation biomarkers Manufacturing/formulation progress; higher dose cohorts opened Continued clean safety; early PSMA-PET lesion resolution signals Incremental clinical signal development
CORDStrom regulatory pathOrphan/Rare Pediatric status; MissionEB results supportive BLA plan (2025/early 2026) BLA in early 2026; US IND planning; system-wide RDEB positioning Clarifying regulatory path and timeline
Funding/runwayCash $33.6M (9M’24) Cash $20.9M YE; financing completed Cash $19.3M; runway through Q3 2025 Tightening liquidity as catalysts near

Management Commentary

  • RJ Tesi on Alzheimer’s readout: “We remain on track… mid- to late June… we are confident we will report results that will change the care of patients with early Alzheimer’s disease.”
  • On APOE4 market: “EU and U.K. have approved lecanemab… exclude patients who carry 2 APOE4 alleles… we should have an exclusive biologically based market [for APOE4 homozygotes].”
  • CSO Mark Lowdell on INKmune: “None of the patients treated in Phase II to date has shown any adverse event… some lesions have resolved completely following INKmune treatment.”
  • CFO David Moss on liquidity: “Cash and cash equivalents of approximately $19.3 million… sufficient to fund operations through Q3 of 2025.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Phase 3 timeline: Management will seek a Type B end-of-Phase 2 meeting in 4Q 2025/2026 to align design; avoids pre-specifying size until FDA feedback; expects larger trial with potentially fewer biomarkers .
  • EMAC vs CDR: Team emphasized EMAC captures early AD cognitive change with less noise; if CDR is equivocal, likely a power issue; correlations between EMAC and CDR observed .
  • APOE4 homozygotes: ~15% in lecanemab/donanemab trials; INMB’s trial ~9%; strategic opportunity where anti-amyloid labels restrict this subgroup (EU/UK) .
  • pTau217: Early reductions in CSF markers noted; positioned as responsive PD biomarker, complementary to clinical endpoints .
  • CORDStrom regulatory context: Abeona gene therapy viewed as complementary (local skin), while CORDStrom positioned as systemic therapy addressing broader EB burden .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 EPS and revenue exceeded consensus: EPS -$0.43 vs -$0.47; revenue $0.05M vs $0.00 .
  • Coverage remains sparse; consensus recommendation text unavailable; target price mean $5.25 reported with limited dispersion.
    Notes: Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term binary catalyst: June AD02 top-line remains the primary stock driver; management’s biomarker-led narrative (EMAC, pTau217) seeks to anchor interpretation .
  • Strategic differentiation: APOE4 homozygote exclusion from anti-amyloid labels in EU/UK positions XPro for a defined market niche if efficacy and safety hold .
  • INKmune momentum: Clean safety and early lesion-resolution observations warrant attention; enrollment shift to year-end signals operational execution risk but also ongoing signal development .
  • Funding vigilance: Runway through Q3 2025; potential need for capital contingent on AD02 data, Phase 3 planning, and NIH timelines .
  • CORDStrom de-risking: Orphan/Rare Pediatric designations and MissionEB trial data support BLA pathway; early 2026 filing guides medium-term optionality .
  • EPS beat driven by disciplined R&D spend and stable G&A; maintain focus on opex trajectory into pivotal planning .
  • Trading implications: Expect heightened volatility into June readout; position sizing should reflect binary outcome risk and liquidity constraints.

Appendix: Source Documents

  • Q1 2025 8-K 2.02 and press release: full financial tables and program updates .
  • Q1 2025 earnings call transcripts: management remarks, Q&A themes, and program timelines .
  • Prior quarters: Q3 2024 8-K press release and financials ; FY2024/YE 8-K press release .

Notes on SPGI data usage: Asterisked values in tables are retrieved from S&P Global.